Experts Project Home Prices Will Rise over the Next 5 Years

Dated: December 18 2023

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Amidst the plethora of data indicating a consistent upward trajectory in home prices nationwide, a lingering apprehension persists among many, fearing an impending price downturn. If this is you, your not alone, according to a recent survey by Fannie Mae, a substantial 23% of consumers harbor the belief that prices will experience a decline in the next 12 months, with nearly one in four individuals grappling with this concern – a sentiment you may find resonating with.

To assuage these apprehensions, let's delve into the insights offered by experts regarding not just the upcoming year but the trajectory over the next five years.

Anticipating Prolonged Appreciation While a handful of expert opinions might not be sufficient to sway your perspective, a collective perspective from a multitude of experts may provide the reassurance sought. The Home Price Expectation Survey (HPES) from Pulsenomics serves as an invaluable repository of forecasts spanning a five-year horizon, featuring insights from over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts. The latest quarterly release underscores a unanimous projection of home prices ascending annually through 2027 (refer to the graph below).

Estimated Home Price performance

Although the anticipated upswing in 2024 may not match the scale witnessed in 2023, it's crucial to recognize that home price appreciation operates cumulatively. Put differently, assuming these experts are accurate, following a 3.32% surge in your home's value this year, it is poised to increase by an additional 2.17% in the subsequent year.

For those harboring concerns of an imminent decline in home prices, the overarching takeaway is this: despite regional disparities, experts envisage a sustained upward trajectory nationwide, adhering to a market-normal pace for the foreseeable future.

Implications for You If skepticism still lingers, consider these numerical projections that vividly illustrate the potential evolution of a typical home's value over the impending years, as per the HPES expert forecasts (see graph below).

Home price growth expectation

For instance, envisage acquiring a $400,000 home at the onset of this year. Factoring in the HPES prognostication, you stand to accrue more than $71,000 in household wealth over the ensuing five years.

In Summation For those grappling with concerns of a housing market downturn, take solace in the consensus among experts – contrary to apprehensions, national home prices are slated to persistently ascend, not merely in the approaching year but for the years ahead. Should queries or uncertainties persist regarding the trajectory of home prices in your locale, consider reaching out to me and lets talk. CONTACT ME

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Kevin Rose

As a licensed Realtor and previously licensed Loan Officer for over 15 years I am not only committed, but a passionate professional who puts my clients satisfaction above all else. My determination ....

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